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International Economic Bulletin


The G20 in 2050

China will become the world’s largest economy in 2032, and by mid-century will be 20% larger than the United States.
Watch the economic shift.


Middle East Democracy Promotion Is Not a One-way Street

President Obama in Egypt President Obama is under pressure to relaunch the political reform agenda in the Middle East, but low U.S. credibility and the region’s political stagnation leave little hope that typical methods will be successful. Marina Ottaway explains that the Obama administration must engage in a new type of dialogue with the region, one modeled after the process used to improve relations with the Soviet bloc, if it wants to have any chance of impacting political reform in the Middle East.

Revitalizing Democracy Assistance

Democracy is largely stagnant in the world and a growing number of governments exhibit hostility toward international democracy aid. Thomas Carothers explains that tackling longstanding problems with the basic structures of U.S. democracy aid would boost President Obama’s effort to formulate an approach to democracy promotion. As the largest source of such assistance, USAID is an obvious starting point for deep-reaching reforms.

This Time, Ban the Test

The treaty calling for a global ban on nuclear tests was rejected by the U.S. Senate ten years ago. Jessica T. Mathews says in the International Herald Tribune that ratifying the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty will enhance U.S. national security.

Market Versus State: Postcrisis Economics in Latin America

In the wake of the global financial crisis, governments have an opportunity to rethink their economic policies. Alejandro Foxley outlines how Latin American countries can achieve development with fewer inequalities and greater capacity for innovation. 

Five Alternatives that Make More Sense than
Offshore Oil

Offshore Drilling U.S. offshore oil reserves are too small to significantly impact world oil prices or America’s reliance on foreign oil.  Whitney Leonard explains that alternatives to offshore drilling could effectively maximize long-term environmental, economic, and security gains.

Former Secretary of State George Shultz on U.S. Concerns

Former Secretary of State George Shultz Former Secretary of State George Shultz discussed his views on global disarmament, the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, the question of America's decline, and the future direction of American foreign policy.

Russia Reborn

Putin and Medvedev Nearly 20 years after the breakup of the Soviet Union, Russia still struggles to find its role on the international stage. Dmitri Trenin suggests that by embracing a soft power foreign policy fueled by a new focus on economic, intellectual and social renewal, Russia can emerge as a serious and indispensable global actor.

There's a Cost to Mainland Overinvestment

China China’s recent surge in infrastructure investment may improve economic conditions for now, but if it continues to slow household income growth, its net effect may be to simply constrain consumption and prevent a more rapid rebalancing of the economy, explains Michael Pettis.

Yemen: Avoiding a Downward Spiral

Yemen protests A confluence of looming challenges in Yemen threatens to overwhelm the government, provide a breeding ground for terrorists, and destabilize the region. Christopher Boucek warns that while Yemen has survived past crises, the current risks are unprecedented in both their scope and potential to threaten regional and international security.
 

Iraqi Elections 2010 - Carnegie Expert Analysis & Background on the Political Landscape

A New Vision - Pioneering the Global Think Tank (click here to learn more)

Highlights from our centers
Moscow

Russia's Search for an Identity

StalinThe perception of Stalin and his crimes in Russia has more to do with the nature of Russian statehood than with the monstrous actions of the man himself, Masha Lipman explains.

Washington, DC

Revitalizing Democracy Assistance

MedvedevTackling longstanding problems with U.S. democracy aid would boost President Obama’s effort to formulate an approach to democracy promotion, explains Thomas Carothers.

Beirut

Between Government and Opposition

Yemen’s Islamist Congregation for Reform party seeks reform, but it faces deep internal divisions on key issues, and its fractious composition prevents it from developing a clear parliamentary platform, Amr Hamzawy explains.

Brussels

Time for an Afghan Surge

If the international coalition is to find a way out of Afghanistan, Fabrice Pothier explains, their new strategy should increase efforts to help the Afghan government win over the hearts and minds of its people.

Beijing

Traditional Values in Modern China

Experts discuss the reasons for and consequences of Confucianism's recent revival in China.

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