The Global Think Tank - Click here to learn more...

Five Surprises of the Great Recession

Uri Dadush, Vera Eidelman Policy Brief, November 2010
Resources

The Great Recession included five major surprises: (1) the severity of the global trade and output collapse, (2) the United States suffered a milder than expected recession, (3) Europe saw the onset of a severe sovereign debt crisis, (4) China grew at an extraordinary rate even though it’s greatly dependent on exports, and (5) Latin America showed remarkable resilience.

 

  • Each of the five surprises teaches policy makers critical lessons ranging from the need to rein in unbridled risk-taking in the financial sector, to the importance of a vigorous response from the private sector to crises, to the importance of quickly reestablishing sound macroeconomic fundamentals. Beyond the generally applied lessons, the surprises also hold lessons for specific regions, notably the need for reforms to strengthen the institutional mechanisms underpinning the Euro area.
     
  • While governments reacted quickly and appropriately with stimulus measures and bank rescues to prevent a descent into depression, they unfortunately have not acted forcefully enough on the lessons emerging from the five surprises. In particular, leaders have failed to enact the structural and regulatory reforms needed to protect the world against the next crisis.

 

 
Resources available for this publication
Source: www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=41963
Featured Event
Thursday, June 17, 2010 Washington, D.C.

Lessons from the Global Financial Crisis

With the effects of the financial crisis that began nearly two years ago still being felt today, the time has come for a candid assessment of the structural and regulatory weaknesses that helped create it.

Resources
More Related Events
Related Publications
 

Carnegie Resources

Quotes on Carnegie - Praise for the Global Think Tank
“[Carnegie is]…one of the centers of gravity of thinking about national security matters in our country.” – General Martin Dempsey, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff
“Carnegie remains a first-rate source of policy analysis and practical guidance on all the major international issues and I rely on the advice and counsel of many Carnegie scholars.” – John McCain, U.S. Senator
“The Carnegie Endowment has been a training ground for many of the all-stars in the State Department….” – Madeleine Albright, Former Secretary of State
“I appreciate its work in the area of peace.” – Kofi Annan, Former Secretary-General of the United Nations
“I cannot think of a better alignment of communication, information, and getting people together.” – Eric Schmidt, Executive Chairman of Google
“The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace is the #3 think tank in the world.” University of Pennsylvania 2011 Global Think Tank Rankings
“[T]his great vision of becoming a global think tank [is] badly needed in an interconnected world.” – Nicholas Burns, Undersecretary of State for Political Affairs
“One of the most globally trusted talking-shops.” The Economist
“The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace is the #3 think tank in the United States.” University of Pennsylvania 2011 Global Think Tank Rankings
“It is truly a global think tank…completely and appropriately reflective of the nature of the challenges that we face today.” – John Kerry, U.S. Senator
“A force for global peace and security for 100 years.” – John Brennan, Homeland Security Advisor
“An excellent institution that does important work to help establish stronger international laws and organizations.” – His Royal Highness Prince Turki Al-Faisal
“The Carnegie Moscow Center is the top think tank in Central and Eastern Europe.” University of Pennsylvania 2011 Global Think Tank Rankings
“The Carnegie Endowment…has for a century been dedicated to understanding and preventing war and its myriad causes.” – Robert Gates, U.S. Secretary of Defense
“The Carnegie Endowment is known on both sides of the aisle with great deal of respect for your active international engagement….” – Michael Turner, U.S. Congressman
“[This event is]… a testament to the success that you’ve had in transforming Carnegie… into a truly global think tank.” – Leon Panetta, U.S. Secretary of Defense
“The Carnegie Middle East Center is the top think tank in the Middle East and North Africa.” University of Pennsylvania 2011 Global Think Tank Rankings

From Carnegie's Global Network

Lebanon Edges Closer to Syrian Crisis

Paul Salem
Thursday, May 17, 2012

As armed clashes last weekend show, north Lebanon is becoming a growing support base for the Syrian revolution. Sunni mobilization in support of the uprising in Syria is mounting and the Lebanese government is losing its ability to maintain its policy of neutrality.

Future Challenges for U.S.-China Relations

Michael D. Swaine, Yan Xuetong, Paul Haenle, John Pomfret, Yuan Peng
Tuesday, April 17, 2012

The U.S. pivot to the Asia-Pacific has created both tension and opportunity in its relations with China.

In Germany, Divide on Left Is Transparent

Judy Dempsey
Tuesday, May 15, 2012

The success of Germany's Pirates party is the result of its transparency and accountability. Sustaining that enthusiasm through national elections in 2013 will be a challenge, however.

What Should We Expect During Putin’s Third Term?

Mykola Siruk, Lilia Shevtsova
Tuesday, May 15, 2012

Putin has returned to the Kremlin, but he faces a significantly different Russia, because the country's situation has changed drastically. The previous Putin’s consensus between those in power and society has fallen apart.

Connect with Carnegie

Stay in the Know

Sign up for Carnegie announcements and publications—including Carnegie This Week—by filling out the form below. Note—fields marked with an asterisk (*) are required.

Personal Information
 
 
 
1779 Massachusetts Ave. NW Washington, DC 20036-2103 Phone: 202 483 7600 Fax: 202 483 1840