Carnegie E-news  
Carnegie e-news
November 13, 2007 


Issue Highlights
bullet Feature: Pakistan in crisis
bullet Trade: Mandelson on global economy; Mexico's enclave economy; corrupt states
bullet South Asia: Abandoning Musharraf, Asia's economic and political resurgence
bullet Nonproliferation: A chance for nuclear leadership; U.S.-India nuclear cooperation
bullet Middle East: Iran sanctions and perspectives on Iraq; Islamist intransigence; Muslim Brotherhood's platform
bullet China: China's regional inequalities
bullet U.S. Role: Giuliani's roots
bullet Foreign Policy Magazine: Web Exclusive: Seven Questions: Musharraf’s Martial Plan

Pakistani opposition leader Benazir Bhutto


Pakistan in Crisis
The crisis in Pakistan continues to escalate with the house arrest of Pakistani opposition leader Benazir Bhutto. Carnegie's Frederic Grare, a leading Pakistan scholar, discussed President Musharraf’s decision to impose martial law, recent developments in Pakistan, and the U.S. response on The Diane Rehm Show. Click here to listen to the segment.

Carnegie expert commentary on the developing situation, including Pakistan’s political environment, relations with the U.S., and wider regional implications:
Rethinking Western Strategies Toward Pakistan
Musharraf in the Twilight
Pakistan-Afghanistan Relations in the Post-9/11 Era
Islam, Militarism, and the 2007–2008 Elections in Pakistan
More
 
bullet Trade
MandelsonEurope and the U.S.: Confronting Global Challenges
In a speech at the Carnegie Endowment, European Commissioner for Trade Peter Mandelson argued that the European Union and the United States must use their collective economic weight to underwrite the openness of the global economy as its adjusts to the rise of new economic powers and greater global flows of investment. Mandelson said that the U.S. and the EU should use their own openness to "underwrite a strong multilateral order based on cooperation and economic openness."
videoClick here for video, transcript, and written remarks.

Gallagher Mexico's Enclave Economy
The Carnegie Endowment hosted a discussion with Kevin Gallagher author of The Enclave Economy: Foreign Investment and Sustainable Development in Mexico’s Silicon Valley, on October 26. The book probes the 1990s foreign investment-led expansion of the high technology sector in the Mexican state of Jalisco, and the extent to which it contributed to the country’s economic, social and environmental development.

Branko MilanovicGlobalization and the Corrupt States
In a new Yale Global article, Carnegie's Branko Milanovic argues that globalization has enabled the rise of corrupt states that thrive on illegal businesses. Milanovic contends, "The key is that meaningful reforms do not begin in the corrupt states themselves, but in the rich world that is the main consumer of illegal goods and services." He proposes legalizing some criminal activities which would curb corruption and allow for meaningful reforms.

bullet China
CurrencyThe Causes and Impact of Regional Inequalities in Income and Well-Being
Senior Associate Albert Keidel analyzes the cause and impact of China's regional economic inequalities. Keidel's initial conclusions are that the pattern of regional disparities in rural income and consumption have remained intact over 20 years (1985-2005) and have in fact worsened. However, increases in per-capita income and consumption in all regions have been so rapid that disparities are of secondary importance.

bullet U.S. Role
JudisAuthority Figure: The Childhood Roots of Giuliani's Strange View of Liberty
Carnegie's John Judis writes in the New Republic about GOP presidential candidate Rudy Giuliani's view of liberty and authority. "Most of his core beliefs can be traced to his childhood in New York and to his enrollment for 16 years in Catholic schools," he writes.
bullet Middle East
Iran flag Iranian Involvement in Iraq: Saddam-Era Ties to Iraq Remain
As suspicions about a possible U.S. attack on Iran increase stateside, Carnegie's Iran expert Karim Sadjadpour appeared on NPR's All Things Considered to discuss the Iranian perspective of its involvement in Iraq and what effects the recent sanctions might have on U.S.-Iran relations.

Muslim BrotherhoodDebunking the Myth of Islamist Intransigence
Carnegie Junior Fellow Mohammed Herzallah and Senior Associate Amr Hamzawy discuss the implications of the draft platform the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood recently released in a Daily Star article. They argue that although there remain numerous contradictions in the platform, it represents a step towards moderation and democracy and away from the rhetoric and violence that can be found in the movement's past.

HamzawyRegression in the Muslim Brotherhood's platform?
In the Daily Star, Carnegie Senior Associate Amr Hamzawy analyzes the Muslim Brotherhood's draft party platform. "The document raises troubling questions regarding the identity of a future Brotherhood political party as well as the group's position on several political and social issues," he writes.  "Released in the context of an ongoing standoff between the Egyptian regime and the Brotherhood, it reveals significant ambiguities and perhaps regression in the movement's thinking."

bullet Nonproliferation
CapitolA Chance for Nuclear Leadership
In a Washingtonpost.com Think Tank Town op-ed, Carnegie's Deepti Choubey addresses the need for U.S. leadership in confronting the "most important strategic foreign policy issue facing the next President and Congress": the proliferation of nuclear weapons. Choubey argues the U.S. ratification of the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty would “pressure other "hold out" states to follow suit.”

Singh and BushIssues in U.S.-India Nuclear Cooperation
In a new Proliferation Analysis, Sharon Squassoni addresses U.S.-India nuclear cooperation and outlines the issues involved. She writes, "In October, the U.S.-India nuclear cooperation agreement hit a snag in Indian domestic politics. It will be important to take every opportunity — for example, when the NSG consultative group meets in November and in congressional hearings — to clarify and resolve issues before the NSG opens up nuclear commerce to India." Click here to read her report.

bullet South Asia
MusharrafThe U.S. Needs to Abandon Musharraf Today
In the New Republic, Carnegie's Joshua Kurlantzick argues that the U.S. needs to abandon Pakistan's President Musharraf today. "Throwing in with democracy would vastly improve America's image in Pakistan," he writes, "where a majority of respondents in one recent poll cited free elections, free press, and an independent judiciary as their number one priority, and where average people have learned, through sorry experience, that Washington will stand by the general no matter how badly he missteps."

TellisAsia's Economic and Political Resurgence
Testifying before the French White Paper Commission on Defense and National Security on October 31, Ashley J. Tellis described the opportunities and challenges for Europe and the U.S. posed by Asia's "revolutionary" and "incomplete" resurgence. A video of the testimony (in French) is available.

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Foreign Policy
Web Exclusive:
Seven Questions: Musharraf’s Martial Plan
Can Pervez Musharraf hang tough in Islamabad? Najam Sethi, editor of Pakistan's Daily Times and one of the country’s most respected political analysts, sees a leader who is reviled everywhere but where it matters most: in the barracks.

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