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August 06, 2008 |
Allawi: Iraqi Reconciliation
A series of devastating suicide bombings in Iraq last week underscored how fragile the improved security situation is. Former Prime Minister of Iraq, Dr. Ayad Allawi, speaking at Carnegie, stressed the importance of transforming the surge’s military gains into political reconciliation, including reaching an agreement on Iraqi refugees and the disarmament of militias. | MORE >
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Allawi on Iraq
Iraqi Refugee Crisis
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Also in this issue...
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China's Olympic Moment
The Beijing Olympics mark China’s emergance as a global leader, but present risks that could mar its reputation. To explain those risks and their potential impact on the Chinese government, Carnegie hosted an event with Victor Cha, director of Asian studies at Georgetown University, and Carnegie’s Minxin Pei and Douglas Paal. Risks discussed include logistical organization, pollution, security, and political protests. | MORE >
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 Despite the collapse of the Doha trade talks in Geneva last week, Sandra Polaski argues that the global food crisis is creating the basis for longer term progress on a new agricultural trade regime. Key differences over agriculture as well as manufacturing and services trade seemingly stymied a final deal, but the progress on farm talks bodes well for an eventual pact that better reflects the needs of developing countries and the poor.
 Following September 11th and the U.S. invasion of Iraq, the structures and power balances that defined regional Arab relations for more than fifty years are in ruins. Though there have been many attempts by the international community to impose order in the Middle East, Paul Salem argues that Arab states must themselves overcome divisive ideologies, prioritize common interests, and develop a cooperative political and security architecture if a new regional order is to come to fruition.
 Arab countries are undertaking diplomatic initiatives that clearly contradict U.S. policy, because they no longer trust the U.S. capacity to contend with escalating regional crises. Marina Ottaway and Mohammed Herzallah assess these initiatives in The New Arab Diplomacy: Not With the U.S. and Not Against the U.S., and conclude that even Arab countries traditionally aligned with the United States are no longer willing to follow Washington’s lead on policies toward Iran, Lebanon, or Hamas
 Morocco’s leading Islamist party—the Party for Justice and Development Party (PJD)—is facing growing disillusionment among its supporters after a shift toward secular reforms did not lead to greater national political influence. Amr Hamzawy describes that the PJD is struggling to define a balance between the pragmatic demands of political participation and accusations that they are compromising religious commitments for political advancement.
 Fatah and Hamas controlled government agencies must cooperate before a Palestinian presidental election can take place. Nathan Brown offers an analysis of Palestinian law and the core disagreements between the Palestinian factions that cast new doubt on President Mahmud Abbas’s political future.
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 U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice’s decision to attend the ASEAN Forum in Singapore was a welcomed acknowledgment of Asia’s status as a new global center of gravity. Doug Paal writes in the Wall Street Journal that for years U.S. diplomacy has shortchanged much of Asia, and that an effective U.S. engagement strategy should include building a regional organization that can address the full scope of issues facing the continent.
Next January, the new U.S. President will be confronted with the longest list of severe challenges any president has faced in decades. Prioritizing among them will be even more important than usual. The Carnegie Endowment’s experts endeavor to do just that. They separate good ideas from dead ends and go beyond widely agreed goals to how to achieve them.
In this series...
 A worldwide revival of nuclear energy appears to be looming, now is the time to ensure that future nuclear expansion is as safe and secure as possible, testified Pierre Goldschmidt before the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Terrorism, Nonproliferation, and Trade.
 India's UPA government's comfortable margin of victory on a confidence vote in the Lok Sabha enables the ruling coalition to push ahead with the Indo-US civilian nuclear deal. The deal would lift the U.S. ban on nuclear trade with India and allow it to assist India’s civilian nuclear program. Ashley Tellis discussed the details of the deal on NPR’s Morning Edition but noted that it is unlikely to make India a closer U.S. ally.
 Despite President Bush’s 2001 commitment to supply Taiwan with F-16s for its self defense, the administration recently froze the final part of the arms deal. Ashley Tellis argues in the Wall Street Journal that Washington’s concern about offending Beijing is misplaced: the deal should move forward, not only to support a democratic ally whose leader is committed to improving cross-straits relations, but also as a pragmatic step toward balancing China’s military build-up.
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 Turkey narrowly avoided an unprecedented constitutional crisis last Wednesday when its Constitutional Court refrained from banning the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP). Henri Barkey analyzes the court’s decision, outlines the history of the AKP, and assesses the impact of the crisis on Turkey’s political future.
 Finnish Minister for Foreign Affairs, Alexander Stubb, outlined a path for the EU to become a superpower; including the approval and ratification of the Lisbon Treaty, the creation of an EU foreign ministry, the development of EU defense, one common seat at the UN Security Council and G8, and addressing the prevalent “sour mood” toward the EU in some European countries today.
 Ireland’s devastating “no” to the Lisbon Treaty left the EU with its old and unwieldy decision-making process. The French Ambassador to the United States, Pierre Vimont, led an in-depth discussion at Carnegie on how France will try to move forward onthe issues of climate change and energy, agriculture, immigration, and European defense.
 Dmitry Medvedev’s decision to veto a recent UN Security Council resolution for sanctions against Zimbabwe was a clear signal that he has not deviated from Vladimir Putin’s foreign policy. Dmitri Trenin explains in the Moscow Times that, like Putin, Medvedev seeks to “replace U.S. hegemony with an oligarchy of the new global powers.”
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WTO Negotiations