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December 3, 2009
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The Afghanistan Decision

President Obama announced his administration’s new Afghanistan strategy on December 1 at West Point. Gilles Dorronsoro writes in the Washington Post that Obama’s decision to deploy an additional 30,000 troops mainly to the Taliban controlled Pashtun provinces of Helmand and Kandahar will only make an eventual withdrawal more difficult.
More Analysis and Commentary
G20

Iran, the United States, and the Gulf: The Elusive Regional Policy

Engagement with Iran has been one of the centerpieces of President Obama’s foreign policy agenda. Marina Ottaway explains that any effective U.S. diplomatic approach to Iran must involve other Gulf nations. A normalization of relations between Tehran and its neighbors is an important and attainable step for reintegrating Iran into the international community.

Related Publications:
Nuclear Quagmire with Iran [interview]

G20

Election Law, Take Two

A fragile agreement on Iraq’s new election law has fallen apart over the apportionment of parliamentary seats among the provinces, casting doubt that the country’s upcoming parliamentary elections will be held by the January 31, 2010 deadline.

More on Iraq:
Iraqi Vice President Rejects Election Law, Threatening January Vote [commentary]
G20

Restoring the NPT: Essential Steps for 2010

The upcoming 2010 Non-Proliferation Treaty Review Conference is an opportunity to strengthen the struggling nonproliferation regime. Deepti Choubey identifies achievable goals for the conference and outlines the steps nuclear and non-nuclear-weapon states must take to avert a complete failure of the regime.

Related Publications:
Egyptian Nuclear Leadership—Time to Realign? [policy outlook]
Restoring the NPT: Essential Steps for 2010 [event]

G20

Singh Visits Washington

Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh traveled to Washington on November 24 to meet with President Obama. Ashley Tellis explains that the nations must work together on the two critical issues of nonproliferation and climate change, where cooperation will be the most challenging but the most vital.

More on U.S.-India Relations:
Mr. Singh Goes to Washington [op-ed]
U.S.–India Relations on the Eve of Singh’s Visit [event]
The United States and India 3.0 [policy brief]

Sharing the Pain: The Global Struggle Over Savings

Oil In the wake of the global economic downturn, Americans are spending less and saving more. Michael Pettis explains that without greater global investment or a rise in Chinese domestic consumption, the increasing U.S. savings rate will have serious repercussions for both the Chinese and American economies and create aftershocks in dozens of other countries.

The G20 in 2050

India By 2050, emerging countries in Asia and Latin America will become economic powers comparable to the United States and Europe, according to new Carnegie projections. China will become the world’s largest economy in 2032, and by mid-century will be 20 percent larger than the United States. Read more about the shifting global economic balance of power and the latest economic developments in the International Economic Bulletin.

Market Versus State: Postcrisis Economics in Latin America

Oil The global financial crisis requires that governments rethink their economic policies. Alejandro Foxley outlines how Latin American countries should take the opportunity to achieve development with fewer inequalities and greater capacity for innovation.

Middle East Democracy Promotion Is Not a One-way Street

Iran President Obama is under pressure to relaunch the political reform agenda in the Middle East, but low U.S. credibility and the region’s political stagnation leave little hope that typical methods will be successful. Marina Ottaway explains that the Obama administration must engage in a new type of dialogue with the region, one modeled after the process used to improve relations with the Soviet bloc, if it wants to have any chance of impacting political reform in the Middle East.

Al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb

Iran Al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb—an Algerian jihadi group—garnered worldwide media exposure after its 2007 attacks in Algeria. Jean-Pierre Filiu explains that the group’s failure to transform itself into a North Africa-wide organization is the result of the Algerian government’s more effective military strategy and the collapse of al-Qaeda in Iraq.

Arab Reform Bulletin

IslahThe November Arab Reform Bulletin explores the tribulations of the Iraqi electoral process, the challenges facing the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt, labor protests in Egypt, the status of Hamas in the West Bank, the growing ties between Islamists and democratization and the challenges facing the press in Morocco.
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