Carnegie Reports

WMD in Iraq: Evidence and Implications January 2004

Iraq: What Next? January 2003

Iraq: A New Approach August 2002
 

 

 

Policy Briefs

The Right Road to Sovereignty in Iraq: by Marina Ottaway and Thomas Carothers

Lessons from the Past: The American Record on Nation Building by Minxin Pei and Sara Kasper

Democratic Mirage in the Middle East by Marina Ottaway, Thomas Carothers Daniel Brumberg, and Amy Hawthorne.

Weapons of Mass Destruction

Iraq Chapter- Deadly Arsenals (pdf) Iraq Bio, Chem and Missile Table- Deadly Arsenals (pdf),

(Order Deadly Arsenals)

Comprehensive Report of the Special Advisor to the DCI on Iraq's Weapons of Mass Destruction,
Iraq Survey Group, 30 September 2004

Testimony of Charles Duelfer before the Senate Armed Services Committee,
6 October 2004

"Two Terrifying Reports: The US Senate and the 9/11 Commission on Intelligence Failures Before September 11 and the Iraq War," Joseph Cirincione in Disarmament Diplomacy, July/August 2004

Nuclear Weapons Chapter- Deadly Arsenals (pdf)

Chemical and Biological Weapons Chapter- Deadly Arsenals (pdf)

"The Decision to go to War in Iraq," House of Commons: Foreign Affairs Committee Report, 8 July 2003 (pdf)

Follow the Threat Assessments
Carnegie Analysis by Joseph Cirincione and Dipali Mukhopadhyay, 3 July 2003

"Iraqi Mobile Biological Warfare Agent Production Plants," Report by the Central Intelligence Agency, 28 May 2003

"Draft UN Resolution on Iraq Lacks Plan for Return of International Weapons Inspections and Long-Term Arms Monitoring," ISIS Issue Brief by Corey Hinderstein, 16 May 2003

"Bush Administration on Iraq's WMD Capabilities," Carnegie Fact Sheet prepared by Dipali Mukhopadhyay , April 25, 2003 (pdf)

"Internationalizing the Search for Weapons of Mass Destruction," ISIS Issue Brief by David Albright and Corey Hinderstein, 16 April 2003

"Why Pollack is Wrong: We Have Contained Saddam ," Carnegie Analysis by Joseph Cirincione. Ken Pollack assembles a house of cards to prove that war is necessary to prevent Saddam Hussein from acquiring a nuclear bomb.

Status of Iraq's acquisition of WMD, from CIA'sbiannual "Acquisition of Technology Relating to Weapons of Mass Destruction and Advanced Conventional Munitions" report to Congress, January- June 2002- Released April 2003

"The Mystery of Saddam's Banned Arms," International Herald Tribune Op-Ed by Jon Wolfsthal, April 7, 2003

"Iraq's Biological and Chemical Weapons," Carnegie Fact Sheet by Joseph Cirincione, 4 April 2003 (pdf)

"How Will the Iraq War Change Global Nonproliferation Strategies?" Arms Control Today by Joseph Cirincione, April 2003

"Letter to President Bush by Rep. Waxman Regarding Iraq's Efforts to Obtain a Nuclear Weapon," March 18, 2003 (pdf)

"IAEA's Assessment of Iraq's Nuclear Weapons Program," by Dipali Mukhopadhyay, Carnegie Fact Sheet, 14 March 2003 (pdf)

"Internationalizing the Search for Weapons of Mass Destruction," ISIS Issue Brief by David Albright and Corey Hinderstein, 26 March 2003

“Iraq: Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) Capable Missiles and Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) ,” Updated Congressional Research Service Report, 25 March 2003 (pdf)

"The CIA's Aluminum Tubes' Assessment: Is the Nuclear Case Going Down the Tubes?" by David Albright, ISIS Issue Brief 10 March 2003

"Contested Case: Do the Facts Justify the Case for War in Iraq,?" by by David Cortright, Alistair Millar, George A. Lopez and Linda Gerber, 6 February 2003 (pdf)

Status of Iraq's acquisition of WMD, from CIA's biannual "Acquisition of Technology Relating to Weapons of Mass Destruction and Advanced Conventional Munitions" report to Congress, July- December 2001- Released January 2003

"Weapons of Mass Destruction," Joseph Cirincione on Talk of the Nation-National Public Radio, December 5, 2002

"Iraq's Weapons of Mass Destruction Programs," Central Intelligence Agency, October 2002 (pdf)

"Iraq's Weapons of Mass Destruction," Assessment of the British Government, September 24, 2002 (pdf)

"IISS Strategic Dossier - Iraq's Weapons of Mass Destruction: A Net Assessment," IISS, September 9, 2002

Was Iraq Close to Having a Nuclear Weapon in 1991?, 30 October 2002

Reconstructing Iraq

Arab Reform Bulletin, new e-monthly from Carnegie, covering political reform in Iraq and the Arab world. Subscribe

Iraq: What Do We Do Now? Special Carnegie Conference July 24, 2003. Keynote address by Sen. Richard Lugar.

"Punishing Democracy," Washington Post Op-Ed by Thomas Carothers, May 19, 2003

"Rebuilding Iraq," U.S. General Accounting Office Report, May 2003 (pdf)

"Establishing a Stable Democratic Constitutional Structure in Iraq: Some Basic Considerations" Prepared by the Public International Law and Policy Group with The Century Foundation (pdf)

"Briefing on Iraq’s Future: What Now?" Special Carnegie Event, April 17, 2003

"Lessons from the Past: The American Record in Nation-Building," Carnegie Policy Brief by Minxin Pei and Sara Kasper, April 2003

"Democratic Mirage in the Middle East", Carnegie Policy Brief 20, Thomas Carothers, Marina Ottaway, Amy Hawthorne, & Daniel Brumberg, Fall 2002

Political Reconstruction in Iraq: A Reality Check," by Marina Ottaway and Judith Yaphe, Carnegie Issue Brief, April 2002

"Messy Democracy," Washington Post Op-Ed by Thomas Carothers, April 8, 2003

"The Shape of the Post-War World," Carnegie Issue Brief by Joseph Cirincione, 26 March 2003

"Promoting Democracy in the Middle East: The Problem of U.S. Credibility," Carnegie Working Paper by Marina Ottaway, March 2003

"Bringing Democracy to the Middle East" Carnegie Associate Amy Hawthorne on Weekday- KUOW Public Radio-Seattle, March 31, 2003

"Fighting the War to Win the Peace in a Post-Saddam Iraq," by Michael Eisenstadt and Jeffrey White, Policy Watch, Washington Institute fof Near East Policy, 2 April 2003

"Post-War Iraq: Are We Ready?" by Bathsheba Crocker - CSIS Report, 25
March 2003 (pdf)

"Iraq: The Day After," Report sponsored by the Council on Foreign Relations, March 2003

"Democracy in Iraq and the Middle East," Carnegie Senior Associate Thomas Carothers on Morning Edition - National Public Radio, February 12, 2003

The Kurdish Issue and the Coming War: Issues for Reconstruction," by Anthony Cordesman - CSIS Report, 2 March 2003 (pdf)

"Quick Transformation to Democratic Middle East is Fantasy," Seattle Post-Intelligencer Op-Ed by Tom Carothers and Bethany Lacina, March 16, 2003

"A Real Plan for Rebuilding Iraq," International Herald Tribune Op-Ed by Marina Ottaway, March 3, 2003

"Promoting Democracy in the Middle East: The Problem of U.S. Credibility," Carnegie Working Paper by Marina Ottaway, March 2003

"Reshaping the Middle East : Winning a Lasting Peace in Iraq Will Take More Than Tanks," San Francisco Chronicle Op-Ed by Michael McFaul, February 23, 2003

"After Saddam Hussein:Winning a Peace If It Comes to War," by Ray Salvatore Jenning, United States Institute for Peace, February 2003

"Bush's Turn: Dueling Ideologies Make Justification for War Unclear," San Jose Mercury News Op-Ed by Michael McFaul, January 19, 2003

"Can the United States Promote Democracy in the Middle East?" by Amy Hawthorne, Current History, January 2003

"A Wiser Peace: An Action Strategy For a Post - Conflict Iraq," by Frederick Barton and Bathsheba Crocker, Center for Strategic and International Studies, January 2003 (pdf)

CARNEGIE EVENT: Democratic Mirage in the Middle East October 24, 2002
Listen to a debate based on a new Carnegie Policy brief on the prospects for democracy in post-Saddam Iraq and the US role in Middle East democracy promotion.

Experts Available
 
Jessica Mathews President, Carnegie Endowment - Coercive inspections; war and alternatives; U.S. policy

 
Daniel Brumberg - Political and social change in Middle East; Iran

 
Thomas Carothers - Democracy promotion in the Middle East; U.S. foreign policy

 
Joseph Cirincione - Inspections; weapons of mass destruction

 
Amy Hawthorne - Arab politics, U.S. democracy promotion in the Middle East.

 
Robert Kagan - U.S. policy in the Middle East; use of military force; U.S.-European relations

 
Jon Wolfsthal - Proliferation; weapons of mass destruction

Anatol Lieven - European views; war on terror; Afghanistan; Pakistan

 

 
Moiss Nam - Economic issues; oil

 
Martha Brill Olcott - Central Asia, terrorism, oil supply

 
Marina Ottaway - Democracy in the Middle East

 
George Perkovich - Weapons of mass destruction; Iran; South Asia

 
Alexander Pikayev - Russia; proliferation

 
Mark Strauss - U.S. foreign policy in the Middle East

Inspections/United Nations

This Carnegie report released in January, details concerns over Iraq’s weapons capabilities and assesses the status of inspections.To download the report click here. (also available in Russian)

 

This Carnegie report released in September, helped define the new inspection regime.To read individual chapters or download entire report click here. (Chinese and Russian translations also available)

 

"Unresolved Disarmament Issues: Iraq's Proscribed Weapons Programmes," UNMOVIC Working Paper, 7 March 2003 (pdf)

"Hans Blix's Statement to the UN Security Council," 7 March 2003

Secretary of State Colin Powell's Remarks to the UN Security Council, 7 March 2003

"An Alternative to War," audio analysis by Carnegie President Jessica Mathews, February 14, 2003

"Is There a Better Way to Go?" Washington Post Op-Ed by Jessica Mathews, February 9, 2003

"Inspections," Joseph Cirincione on All Things Considered- National Public Radio, February 7, 2003

"Analysis: Powell's UN Presentation," Jessica Mathews on All Things Considered- National Public Radio, February 5, 2003


"Secretary of State Colin Powell's Speech to the United Nations Security Council," 5 February 2003

CARNEGIE EVENT: Iraq Briefing February 3, 2003. Ambassador Rolf Ekeus, former Executive Chairman of UNSCOM and Carnegie President Jessica Mathews discussed the latest developments in the Iraq. Audio and a written summary from the event area now available.


"Averting War," Joseph Cirincione on Morning Edition- National Public Radio, January 31, 2003

"The Progress of UN Disarmament: An Assessment Report, " by the Sanctions and Security Project of the Fourth Freedom Forum and the Joan B. Kroc Institute for International Peace Studies at the University of Notre Dame, 28 January 2003 (pdf)

"Inspectors' Report to the Security Council," Joseph Cirincione on Fresh Air with Terry Gross- National Public Radio, January 28, 2003

"War Is Not Yet Necessary," Washington Post Op-Ed by Jessica Mathews, 28 January 2003


"Weapons Inspectors Need More Time," Newsday Op-Ed by George Perkovich, 28 January 2003

"An Update on Inspections," Report by UNMOVIC Executive Chairman Hans Blix to the UN Security Council, 27 January 2003

"An Update on Inspections," Report by IAEA Director General Mohamed ElBaradei to the UN Security Council, 27 January 2003

"Let Inspections Run Course," USA Today Op-Ed by Joseph Cirincione, January 23, 2003

"Inspecting Iraq: A Record of the First 40 Days," compiled by the Project on Defense Alternatives, 4 January 2002

"Secretary of State Colin Powell - Press Conference on Iraq Declaration," 19 December 2002

"Illustrative Examples of Omissions From the Iraqi Declaration to the United Nations Security Council," Department of State Fact Sheet, 19 December 2002

"The U.N. Trap?," Weekly Standard Op-Ed by Robert Kagan and William Kristol, November 18, 2002

"Give Inspectors the Tools They Need," International Herald Tribune Op-Ed by Joseph Cirincione, November 13, 2002

"Text of U.N. Security Council Resolution 1441," U.S. Department of State, November 8, 2002


Was Iraq Close to Having a Nuclear Weapon in 1991?, 30 October 2002

"Coercive Inspections," National Public Radio Senior News Analyst Daniel Schorr explores the idea of coercive inspections proposed by Jessica Matthews of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and General Charles Boyd of Business Executives for National Security. September 22, 2002

"Arming the Arms Inspectors," New York Times Op-Ed by Jessica Mathews and Charles Boyd, September 19, 2002

CARNEGIE EVENT: Iraq: A New Approach September 12, 2002
Panelists detailed the options offered in the Carnegie report, "Iraq: A New Approach," which proposes "coercive inspections" in which a multinational military force created by the UN Security Council would enable international inspections teams to operate effectively in Iraq.

President Bush's Remarks at the United Nations General Assembly, September 12, 2002

"A Decade of Deception and Defiance," White House Fact Sheet on Iraq, September 12, 2002


" Iraq Inspections" National Public Radio's Michele Kelemen examines a "third way" to deal with the threat posed by Iraq based on a proposal by a bipartisan panel of foreign policy experts.
September 5, 2003

"The Wrong Target," Washington Post Op-Ed by Jessica T. Mathews, March 4, 2002

UN Resolution 1284, December 17, 1999

UN Resolution 687, April 3, 1991

Bush Administration

Vice President Cheney on the Fall of Baghdad, April 9, 2003

"President Bush Addresses the Nation on Militrary Operations in Iraq," March 19, 2003

"Letter to President Bush by Rep. Waxman Regarding Iraq's Efforts to Obtain a Nuclear Weapon," March 18, 2003 (pdf)

Secretary of State Colin Powell's Remarks to the UN Security Council, 7 March 2003

President Bush Discusses Iraq in National Press Conference, 6 March 2003

Secretary of State Colin Powell, "Iraq: Still Failing to Disarm," CSIS, 5 March 2003

President Bush Discusses the Future of Iraq, American Enterprise Institute, 26 February 2003

"No More Exits for Colin Powell," The Globalist Op-Ed by Joseph Cirincione, February 13, 2003

"Powell Proves Deception, But Not Imminent Threat," Carnegie Analysis by Joseph Cirincione, February 5, 2003

"Secretary of State Colin Powell's Speech to the United Nations Security Council," 5 February 2003

"We Will Not Shrink From War," Wall Street Journal Op-Ed by Secretary of State Colin Powell, 3 February 2003

"State of the Union Address," Joseph Cirincione on the Australian Broadcasting Corporation, January 29, 2003

"President Bush's State of the Union Speech," January 28, 2003

Deputy Secretary of Defense Wolfowitz " Speech on Iraq Disarmament," Council on Foreign Relations, 23 January 2003

"Wolfowitz Cites Examples of 'Real Disarmament,'" Joseph Cirincione on Morning Edition-National Public Radio, January 24, 2003

"Secretary of State Colin Powell - Press Conference on Iraq Declaration," 19 December 2002

"Illustrative Examples of Omissions From the Iraqi Declaration to the United Nations Security Council," Department of State Fact Sheet, 12 December 2002

Congress

"Letter to President Bush by Rep. Waxman Regarding Iraq's Efforts to Obtain a Nuclear Weapon," March 18, 2003 (pdf)

"Containing Saddam Has Failed; Regime Change Only Path to Disarmament," Speech by Senator John McCain, February 13, 2003 (pdf)

"We Stand Passively Mute" Senate Floor Speech by Senator Robert Byrd, February 12, 2003

"Senator Biden's Remarks on Iraq," Senate Floor Speech, January 28, 2003

"Text: House Joint Resolution Authorizing Use of Force Against Iraq," October 2002

Hearings on Iraq

General Anthony Zinni, "Post-Saddam Iraq," Senate Foreign Relations Committee, February 11, 2003 (pdf)

Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs Marc Grossman, "Post-Saddam Iraq," Senate Foreign Relations Committee, February 11, 2003

Daniel Brumberg, "Arab Public Opinion and U.S. Foreign Policy: A Complex Encounter," House Subcommittee on National Security, Veterans Affairs, and International Relations, Committee on Government Reform, October 8, 2002 (pdf)

Henry Kissinger, "Hearing on Iraq," Senate Foreign Relations Committee, September 26, 2002

General Wesley Clark, "Hearing on Iraq," House Armed Services Committee, September 26, 2002

Richard Perle, "Hearing on Iraq," House Armed Services Committee, September 26, 2002

Richard Holbrooke, "Hearing on Iraq," Senate Foreign Relations Committee, September 25, 2002

Samuel Berger, "Hearing on Iraq," Senate Armed Services Committee, September 25, 2002

James Schlesinger, Hearing on Iraq," Senate Armed Services Committee, September 25, 2002

Gary Milhollin, "Hearing on Iraq," House Armed Services Committee, September 25, 2002

Secretary of State Colin Powell, "Hearing on Iraq," House International Relations Committee, September 25, 2002

Gary Milhollin, "Hearing on Iraq," House Armed Services Committee, September 29, 2002

Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld, "Hearing on Iraq," House Armed Services Committee, September 18, 2002

General Richard Myers, Chairman, Joint Chief of Staff, "Hearing on Iraq," House Armed Services Committee, September 18, 2002

David Kay, "Hearing on Iraq," House Armed Services Committee, September 10, 2002

Richard Spertzel, "Hearing on Iraq," House Armed Services Committee, September 10, 2002

Dr. Khidir Hamza, "Hearing on Iraq," Senate Foreign Relations Committee, July 31, 2002

Professor Anthony Cordesman, "Hearing on Iraq," Senate Foreign Relations Committee July 31, 2002

Mr. Charles Deulfer, "Hearings on Iraq," Senate Foreign Relations Committee July 31, 2002

Professor Shibley Telhami, "Hearings on Iraq," Senate Foreign Relations Committee July 31, 2002

Mr. Geoffrey Kemp, "Hearings on Iraq," Senate Foreign Relations Committee July 31, 2002

Dean Robert Gallucci, "Hearing on Iraq," Senate Foreign Relations Committee, July 31, 2002

Dr. Morton Halperin, "Hearing on Iraq," Senate Foreign Relations Committee July 30, 2002

Anthony Cordesman "Iraq and the Risks Posed by Weapons of Mass Destruction,"Subcommittee on Emerging Threats and Capabilities, Senate Armed Services , February 27, 2002 (pdf)

Charles Duelfer, "Weapons of Mass Destruction Programs in Iraq," Subcommittee on Emerging Threats and Capabilities, Senate Armed Services, February 27, 2002 (pdf)

U.S. Policy on Iraq Senate Foreign Relations Hearing, March 9, 1999

 

Origins of Regime Change

Analysis

"The Evolution of the Bush Administration's Policy Toward Iraq," Joseph Cirincione on Fresh Air with Terry Gross, April 1, 2003

"Why We Are in Iraq," Speech by Carnegie Senior Associate Joseph Cirincione at American University Teach-In, March 23, 2003 (pdf)

"Origins of Regime Change in Iraq," Carnegie Issue Brief by Joseph Cirincione, March 19, 2003

"Quick Transformation to Democratic Middle East is Fantasy," Tom Carothers and Bethany Lacina, Seattle Post-Intelligencer, March 16, 2003

"Promoting Democracy in the Middle East: The Problem of U.S. Credibility," Carnegie Working Paper by Marina Ottaway, March 2003

"The New American Colonialism," by Joseph Cirincione, San Francisco Chronicle Op-Ed, 23 February 2003

"Democratic Mirage in the Middle East," Carnegie Policy Brief #20 by Marina Ottaway, Thomas Carothers, Amy Hawthorne, Daniel Brumberg, October 2002

"Dreaming of Democracy," New York Times Magazine, March 2, 2003

"How it Came to War," by Nicholas Lehmann, the New Yorker, 27 March 2003

"First Stop, Iraq," Time, March 25, 2003

"Democracy Domino Theory 'Not Credible," Los Angeles Times, March 14, 2003

"Frontline: The War Behind Closed Doors," This informative website contains interviews, documents, and a history of the Administration's strategic thinking on Iraq and the Middle East. 20 February 2003

"After Iraq," by Nicholas Lehmann, the New Yorker, 17 February 2003

"The President's Real Goal in Iraq," by Jay Bookman, Atlanta Journal-Constitution Op-Ed, 29 September 2002

Project for the New American Century This website presents analysis on Iraq and the Middle East from conservative thinkers.

"The Next World Order," by Nicholas Lehmann, the New Yorker, 1 April 2002 (pdf)

Key Documents on the Administration's Plans for Regime Change

Excerpts from 1992 Draft "Defense Planning Guidance," A policy statement on America's mission in the post-Cold War era drafted under Paul Wolfowitz, then-under secretary of defense for policy. 1992

"A Clean Break: A New Strategy for Securing the Realm" In a memo to then-Irsaeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Richard Perle, Douglas Feith and others present a bold new strategy for Israel that focuses on removing Saddam Hussein from power in Iraq. July 1996

Letter to President Clinton on Iraq Conservative thinkers, many of whom became senior officials in the Bush Administration, articulate to then-President Clinton the urgent need to depose Saddam, 26 January 1998

"Rebuilding America's Defenses" A report by the Project for the New American Century coauthored by among others, six key defense and foreign policy officials now serving in the Bush administration. This report seems to have become a blueprint for Bush's foreign and defense policies. September 2000

"The National Security Strategy of the United States of America," This report outlines the administration's approach to defending the country. This strategy marks a significant departure from previous approaches, a change that it attributes largely to the attacks of Sept. 11. 20 September 2002

Richard Perle on NBC's Meet the Press Richard Perle argues that a democratic Iraq could unleash the spread of democracy in the Middle East, 23 February 2003

"The Future of Iraq" President Bush Outlines his vision for Iraq and the Middle East in a Speech at the American Enterprise Institute. 26 February 2003

Useful Links

UN IRIN Page on Iraq

Department of Defense

State Department Iraq Update Page

Foreign and Commonwealth Office: Iraq

White House

10 Downing Street: Focus on Iraq

Iraq Research- Congressional Research Service

United Nations

UNMOVIC (United Nations Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Commission)

IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency)

Claims and Evaluations of Iraq's Proscribed Weapons

Iraq War Debate- University of Michigan Document Center

Iraq Resource Center- Council on Foreign Relations

Terrorism Project- Eye on Iraq- Center for Defense Information

Iraq Crisis- Global Policy Forum

Target Iraq- Global Security.org

Iraq War- International Institute for Strategic Studies

The War Report- Project on Defense Alternatives

Focus on Iraq- Washington Institute for Near East Policy

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