China

Nuclear Forces, 2006

NATO Name/Chinese NameLaunchers DeployedFirst DeployedRange (km) Warheads x yield (kilotons) Warheads

LAND-BASED MISSILES

  CSS-2/DF-3 (3A)

16

1971

3,100

1 x 3,300

16

CSS-3/DF-4

22

1980

5,500

1 x 3,300

22

CSS-4/DF-5 (5A)

20

1981

13,000

1 x 4,000-5,000

20

CSS-5/DF-21
(21A)

21

1991

2,100

1 x 200-300

21

DF-31

0

development

8,000

1 x 200-300 kt (possible MIRV)

?

DF-31A

0

development

12,000

 

0

Total

79

79

SEA LAUNCHED BALLISTIC MISSILES

CSS-N-3/Julang-1*

12

1986

1,700

1 x 200-300kt

12

CSS-N-4/Julang-2

0

2010?

8,000

1 x 200-300 kt

?

Total

0

400-600 kt

0

Sub-total, ballistic missiles ~91     ~91

AIRCRAFT

B-6/Hong-6

20

19653,100 1 x bomb ~20

A-5/Qian-5

n/a 1970, ? n/a1 x bomb ~20

Total

~91

 

~130**

TACTICAL WEAPONS(8)
Artillery/SRMs 

low kt

120

 

 

 

Notes:
*Julang-1 is not fully operational.
** The Nuclear Notebook states that "about 70 additional warheads may be in storage."

"NRDC Nuclear Notebook: Chinese Nuclear Forces, 2006" Bulletin of the Atomic Scientsts, May/June 2006.

Kenneth Bacon, Department of Defense News Briefing, August 3, 1999.

See Arkin and Norris, "NRDC Nuclear Notebook: Chinese Nuclear Forces 2001" also, the FAS' web page on the Type 92 Xia submarine reports that China apparently launched another Xia-class sub in 1982. However, it is not currently in service and there were unconfirmed reports that it sank in 1985.

Federation of American Scientists. China Nuclear Forces Guide. Available online: http://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/china/index.html

 



Additional Resources

Chinese Nuclear Forces, 2006
(Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists)

Chinese Nuclear Forces, 2003
(Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists)

Chinese Nuclear Forces, 2001
(Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists)

Chinese Nuclear Forces, 2000
(Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists)

Chinese Nuclear Forces, 1999
(Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists)

Remarks of Robert Walpole (CIA), at the Carnegie Endowment, September 17, 1998


China has not officially released details about the size or composition of its nuclear arsenal, making estimates difficult to develop. Much of the unclassified information compiled on China’s forces is from unverified media reports and occasional statements by intelligence or government officials. There is, in particular, much uncertainty regarding China’s deployment of strategic nuclear weapons on bombers and of tactical nuclear weapons. As a result, China’s arsenal could be much smaller than estimated here. For a discussion of this possibility, refer to:

Jeffrey Lewis, "The Ambiguous Arsenal," Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May/June 2005, pp. 52-59.

See also, Robert S. Norris and Hans M. Kristensen,
"Chinese Nuclear Forces, 2003,"
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, November/December 2003, pp. 77-80.



(Diagram/Chart of Chinese ballistic missiles, from the 1999 Cox Report)

While China has several models of ballistic missiles, only the DF-5 is an ICBM by Western standards (>5,500 km) and is capable of reaching the United States. Currently, China deploys approximately 20 DF-5 ICBMs.

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